Tuesday, November 21, 2006

Last big push before the big exit

The longer we stay in Iraq, the worse things will get.
Popular support is waning both at home and in Iraq.
Susan Nossel at democracy arsenal points out that

If we don't begin a planned exit, there's a good chance we'll find ourselves in an unplanned one — It's surprising that by now we haven't experienced the Iraqi equivalent of the 1983 bombing of the Marine barracks in Beirut or the dragging of a corpse of an American soldier through the streets of Mogadishu a decade later. But it seems likely that that day will come.

Whether it comes in the form of a Beruit bombing moment or a Mogadishu episode, repulsive enough to galvanize opposition, it may come sooner than expected.

In a recent PIPA poll, Iraqi attitudes toward the U.S. occupation, 74% of Shiites and 91% of Sunnis want us to leave within a year. Sunnis & Shiites agree that U.S. forces are provoking more violence than they're preventing, and that day-to-day security would improve if we left.

Support for attacks on U.S. forces is majority supported by both Shiites and Sunnis. And none of this is because of successful al-Qaeda propaganda: 94% of Iraqis continue to disapprove of al-Qaeda.
The report summary is here. The full report is here.

The last big push has commenced. Watch for the contractors leaving in droves prior to troop withdraws.

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